Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is withdrawing his country’s longstanding opposition to Sweden joining NATO, paving the way for the Nordic country to join the military alliance and sending a powerful message about its unity on the eve of its summit in Lithuania.
NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said Monday that Erdogan has agreed to send Sweden’s NATO accession protocol to the Turkish Parliament “as soon as possible” after both held talks with Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson.
“Completing Sweden’s accession to NATO is an historic step that benefits the security of all NATO allies at this critical time,” Stoltenberg said. “It makes us all stronger and safer.”
Erdogan’s sudden change of heart came as a surprise not only because Turkey had objected to Sweden’s membership since last year, claiming the Swedes were sympathetic to Kurdish militants Ankara considers a threat to national security, but also because earlier Monday he demanded acceptance into the European Union in exchange for signing off on Sweden’s NATO membership.
It’s unclear what role President Joe Biden’s long phone call with Erdogan on Sunday played in Turkey coming around, but Biden issued a statement Monday welcoming Turkey’s decision and saying, “I stand ready to work with President Erdoğan and Türkiye on enhancing defense and deterrence in the Euro-Atlantic area.”
Biden has emphasized NATO’s solidarity as a bulwark against Russian aggression, which prompted Finland and Sweden to abandon their decades-long policy of nonalignment and seek entry into the alliance after the Kremlin invaded Ukraine in February 2022. Finland became NATO’s 31st member in April.
Hungary has not ratified Sweden’s accession either, but Stoltenberg did not sound concerned, saying, “I think that problem will be solved.”
“Sweden will become a full member of the alliance,” he added.
Developments:
∎ Russia’s Defense Ministry released a video Monday of Gen. Valery Gerasimov, the first time he has been seen publicly since Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin’s ill-fated coup sought dismissal of Russia’s military chief.
∎ 89% of Ukrainians want their country to join NATO, according to a survey by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology.
∎ Ukraine has liberated almost 4 square miles in the south and about 1½ square miles in the east over the past week, the General Staff of Ukraine’s Armed Forces said Monday.
Vladimir Putin met with Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin
Russian President Vladimir Putin met with Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin and his commanders five days after the mercenary group’s short-lived rebellion, the Kremlin said Monday. The Moscow meeting, confirmed by Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov, appears to introduce fresh uncertainty about Prigozhin’s influence with Russia’s leader in the wake of the failed armed mutiny. Peskov said that on June 29, Prigozhin offered an “assessment” of Wagner’s actions on the battlefield in Ukraine and “of the events of June 24,” according to Russian state media. He said Putin “listened to the explanations of the commanders and offered them options for further employment and further use in combat.”
The meeting lasted about three hours, according to Peskov, and Prigozhin offered his unconditional support to Putin during their meeting.
The rebellion ended after Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko promised Prigozhin amnesty for him and his troops provided they relocate to neighboring Belarus. But Russian media reported last week that Prigozhin had recently been seen at his offices in St. Petersburg.
The rebellion, launched amid Prigozhin’s claimed frustration with Russia’s military leadership and its handling of the war in Ukraine, lasted just 24 hours. Prigozhin’s whereabouts have not been publicly disclosed. His private army has helped Russia’s regular armed forces in key battles in eastern Ukraine.
Elon Musk says Ukraine offensive could lead to Russian counterattack
Elon Musk, who sparked outrage last year by proposing a controversial peace plan that included Crimea becoming permanent territory of Russia, now suggests Ukraine’s counteroffensive has been slowed by concerns about a Russian counterattack.
“The flower of Ukrainian and Russian youth have been dying in trenches for a long time with almost no territorial gains,” Musk tweeted. “Whichever side goes on the offensive against heavily entrenched positions will lose far more soldiers. Moreover, Russia outnumbers Ukraine ~4:1, so would win a war of attrition even if casualties were equal.”
If Ukraine takes heavy casualties in its offensive, Musk wrote, “a Russian counterattack would capture a lot more territory. This is why there has been no major offensive.”
The plan Musk tweeted in October suggested Ukraine drop its bid for NATO membership and allow regions seized by Russia since its invasion in February 2022 − Crimea has been occupied since 2014 − to hold referendums to determine whether they want to stay aligned with Moscow. The plan drew support from Moscow but bitter criticism from Ukraine’s leaders.
“If you want to understand what Russia has done here, come to Ukraine and you will see this with your own eyes,” Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in October. “After that, you will tell us how to end this war.”
