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World Baseball Classic picks, best bets

amedpost
Last updated: March 9, 2026 8:13 pm
amedpost
Published: March 9, 2026
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Contents
  • USA vs. Mexico World Baseball Classic odds
  • USA vs. Mexico World Baseball Classic prediction
  • Betting on Baseball?
  • Why Trust New York Post Betting
Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards for more information.

USA looked every bit of its dominant self against Great Britain on Saturday night during the World Baseball Classic.

They now head back to take on a fellow North American rival, with America facing Mexico on Monday night.

Team USA sends Paul Skenes to the mound as a 3.5-run favorite on Monday night while Mexico sends out Manny Barreda.

Team Mexico has a solid lineup that features Red Sox outfielder Jarren Duran, Mariners star Randy Arozarena, and more.

As for pitching, Barreda is surely going to look overmatched on Monday, considering that most of his career has been spent in the Mexican League and he pitched to a 6.22 ERA last year.

The goal for Team Mexico is surely to get what they can out of Barreda before handing it off to their middle relief and eventually closing out the game with star closer Andres Munoz.


Baseball pitcher Paul Skenes #30 of the United States National Team delivers a pitch.
Paul Skenes takes the bump for Team USA on Monday night Getty Images

USA vs. Mexico World Baseball Classic odds

SpreadUSA -3.5 (-110)Mexico +3.5 (-110)
MoneylineUSA -500Mexico +375
TotalOver 11.5 (+102)Under 11.5 (-124)
Odds via FanDuel

USA vs. Mexico World Baseball Classic prediction

Monday’s game will be played inside Minute Maid Park, generally considered hitter-friendly, especially for pull-heavy right-handed batters.

Considering Mexico’s limited pitching options, it will be increasingly difficult for them to stay ahead in this game and going forward against elite competition.

Skenes will likely dominate this lineup for a few innings before handing the game off to an elite bullpen.

As for props, look at Aaron Judge to hit a home run at +175 on bet365, as he’s obviously the best right-handed bat in the game and should be able to square up poor Mexican pitching on Monday night.


Betting on Baseball?


The total runs scored prop comes in at 7.5 for Team USA, and that might be worth targeting as well.

PREDICTIONS: Aaron Judge to hit a home run (+175, bet365) | Over 7.5 total runs (-110, FanDuel)

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.

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