Another week in the UFC as the promotion continues to pump out cards.
The UFC hasn’t been off since Fourth of July weekend, a wild stretch that included Conor McGregor’s return plus four title fights.
Saturday’s return to Edmonton, Alberta, is the 15th straight week of UFC, with no breaks until after Thanksgiving.
Though we had a horrid time betting last week, buckle up for 13 fights, with the card starting at its normal 5 p.m. ET.
UFC Edmonton picks, best bets
Joaquin Buckley vs. Mike Malott
If I thought Buckley was going to wrestle in this welterweight bout, I’d be interested in wagering on the underdog. But that’s just not what we’ve seen from him in his UFC career.
Buckley (+114) hasn’t landed a takedown in three fights, the last one he had coming against Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson, a former kickboxing world champion who is a notoriously bad grappler.
Malott has looked excellent recently, winning four straight and is 8-1 in his UFC career.
Buckley’s floor is too low for me, and Malott has knocked out two of his last three opponents.
I’m targeting Malott to win by knockout in this fight at home in Canada.
Prediction: Malott by KO/TKO (+380, FanDuel)
Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
Here’s a rarity: a consequential fight in the women’s division that doesn’t feel like an obvious decision.
Blanchfield, who for my money should have been fighting for the women’s flyweight title, comes in as a big -300 favorite against Jasudavicius.
She is a submission threat and decent wrestler with some volume striking to make things interesting on the feet.
Jasudavicius likes to wrestle as well and doesn’t really get taken down much, defending attempts at a 75 percent rate. She’s an even-level striker, absorbing 3.46 significant strikes per minute against 3.47 landed.
Blanchfield is more efficient as a striker, averaging 5.24 significant strikes per minute landed against 4.25 absorbed.
I think Blanchfield wins the striking and is the better grappler.
I’m on this fight to go the distance since it’s three rounds, and Blanchfield should take it relatively effortlessly.
Prediction: Blanchfield by decision (56.7 percent, Kalshi)
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Rest of the card
Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Perez: Under 1.5 rounds (55.9 percent, Novig).
Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus: Barriault moneyline (+170, BetMGM); Small bet on Barriault by decision (13.9 percent, Kalshi).
Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba: Fight goes the distance (-110, BetMGM).
Mandel Nallo vs. Nate Landwehr: Small bet on Landwehr by decision. (15/1, FanDuel); Live bet Landwehr at +500 or better if he survives the first four minutes of Round 1.
Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz: Boser moneyline (+200, FanDuel); Boser by decision (+430, FanDuel).
Julien Leblanc vs. Nick Galanti: Galanti by submission (55.8 percent, Kalshi).
Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier: Pass.
Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller: Cerminara by decision (-155, FanDuel).
Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow: Anheliger moneyline (+140, theScore Bet).
Melissa Croden vs. Chelsea Chandler: Croden by decision (34.6 percent, Kalshi).
Cody Chovancek vs. SuYoung You: You by decision (+250, FanDuel).
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
