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Reform poll shock as Farage on course to win most seats for first time | Politics | News

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Last updated: January 30, 2025 2:48 pm
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Published: January 30, 2025
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A bombshell new poll by Find Out Now has recorded Reform UK’s largest lead yet, sitting a comfortable four points ahead of Labour and six points ahead of the Tories.

The survey of 2,487 UK adults finds Nigel Farage’s party now up to a commanding 27%, with Labour trailing behind on 23%.

The Conservatives would achieve just 21%, nearly two points lower than Rishi Sunak’s dismal result last year.

The Liberal Democrats are down to 11%, with the Greens on 10%.

Reform have put on one percentage point since Find Out Now’s last poll a week ago.

The real shock is that the poll shows Reform UK on course for the largest number of seats in parliament for the first time ever.

According to Electoral Calculous, if these figures transpired at the next election, Nigel Farage would be set to enter Downing Street with 212 Reform MPs.

This would be higher than Labour’s 196 MPs, with Keir Starmer’s total crashing by a whopping 216 MPs compared to July last year.

The Tories would lose 15, putting them on a paltry 106 MPs, with the LibDems staying the same at 72.

If true, this would prove one of the most chaotic parliaments in British history.

Neither a coalition of Reform and Tories, nor one between Labour and the Liberal Democrats, would be large enough to form a working majority in the Commons.

Together Nigel Farage and Kemi Badenoch would be 13 MPs short of a majority in parliament.

The news comes as Nigel Farage received yet another boost following a major fundraiser for mega rich donors in Mayfair this week.

Reform sources suggested that the event, with tickets selling for between £10,000 and £25,000 a pop, raised more than £1 million in a single evening.

If true, the money would prove a huge advance for the party which has often trailed behind Labour and Tories for funding.

The party is set to broadcast its latest party political ad on British channels this evening, in the hope of drumming in even more support.

Speaking to the Daily Express in Washington DC, Nigel Farage said his party has to break the 30% support barrier in order to be confident of a major election breakthrough in 2029.

He said he has prove his party to be “credible, optimistic and have a plan that allows us to become a much more confident country, a much more comfortable country. We’ve got to stop this endless self-loathing.”

“We are about opportunity for any individual, we’ve got to get back to a more meritocratic state and they’re the things we’re going to stand for.”

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