The Chancellor is under fire on all fronts. She inherited a £22billion black hole in the public finances and has somehow inflated it to as much as £50billion. She’s on course to borrow around £126billion this year, making our debt even higher.
Her attempts to cut costs have blown up in her face, with proposals to scrap the Winter Fuel Payment for most pensioners and rein in disability benefits both collapsing in humiliating U-turns.
Her credibility is shot. Reeves has been forced to draft in Torsten Bell to write a second Budget after making a complete hash of her first.
Prime Minister Keir Starmer no longer trusts her, surrounding himself with outside experts to keep her in line.
Businesses have turned against her after she drove up employment costs, squeezed profit margins and pushed companies to the brink.
Her Budget destroyed at least 174,000 jobs (and counting) and Angela Rayner’s Employment Rights Bill will make hiring even more expensive, unless Starmer takes this opportunity to axe it. Reeves is trapped: she cannot cut spending, refuses to break her self-imposed fiscal rules, and so falls back on more taxes.
Now she’s been reduced to begging.
Labour cabinet ministers are resisting her every step. They’re desperate to shield their departments from cuts, aware that slashing budgets could wreck their own career prospects.
Cabinet rows have become entrenched, with no appetite for savings and plenty of appetite for self-preservation.
Reeves has been left going cap in hand, pleading with colleagues to find spare change, hoping it will somehow add up.
Yet there is little chance they will listen. Labour MPs did not sign up to deliver what they will view as Tory-style austerity.
Ministers want to spend freely and make their mark, not trim their ambitions to fit her rules. Her appeals have all the appearance of desperation, not authority. Reeves can order, cajole and beg, but her colleagues are not going to bail her out.
This is partly her own mess, but mostly it is Labour’s mess.
Starmer’s backbenchers did not join the party to talk about balanced budgets or bond yields, they joined to hand out government money.
They want to play the generous minister, spraying cash at interest groups and basking in applause. But the days of easy money are long gone.
The bond markets are already charging a premium for lending to the UK, unconvinced Labour can be trusted to spend wisely.
Reeves has finally woken up to that reality. She now talks the language of investors, not activists, because she knows which side holds the whip hand.
The problem is that anything she does will be hammered by her own party, and the bond markets are watching like hawks.
The Chancellor may have her begging bowl out, but Labour’s ministers are too busy fighting their own corners to fill it.
She might as well be rattling a tin on Whitehall for all the good it will do her. Which could even be the next step.