Experts are warning that Russia’s military industrial complex could face a catastrophic collapse if Western nations cease the supply of precision tooling and CNC machines crucial to the production of long-range cruise missiles.
Igor Sushko, a prominent analyst from the Wind of Change, highlighted the vulnerability of Russia’s military infrastructure, stating: “Russia’s military-industrial complex will collapse as soon as countries in the West stop selling precision tooling and CNC machines to Russia.”
Long-range cruise missiles have played a pivotal role in Russia’s military operations, particularly in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
These missiles serve various purposes, including nuclear blackmail, conventional strikes, and acts of terror against civilian infrastructure. Rhodus Intelligence has identified “ODK Saturn,” a Rostec-associated entity, as a key player in the production of engines for Russia’s longest-range cruise missiles, such as the Kh-101, Kh-555, and the Kalibr family.
“ODK Saturn” is recognised as one of the most strategically important and technologically advanced weapons producers in Russia.
Despite its secretive nature, the organisation has inadvertently exposed critical information online, including detailed documentation outlining its technological policies. One such document is the “Technological Policy” from 2017, which provides a comprehensive list of manufacturing equipment crucial to their operations.
Of particular concern is the revelation that many of the manufacturing equipment suppliers hail from Western countries, including Germany, Sweden, Italy, Switzerland, Israel, Turkey, Denmark, Japan, South Korea, and the United States.
The dependence on these nations for essential components raises serious questions about the sustainability of Russia’s military capabilities should the supply chain be disrupted.
Experts emphasise that this vulnerability underscores the intricate network of global interdependence in the defence industry.
If Western nations decide to halt the provision of key manufacturing facilities, it could have severe repercussions for Russia’s military strength, potentially reshaping the dynamics of geopolitical power.
