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Mets vs. Blue Jays prediction: MLB picks, best bets for Wednesday

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Last updated: July 1, 2026 3:02 pm
amedpost
Published: July 1, 2026
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Contents
    • Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting
  • Why Trust New York Post Betting
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The Mets have been an embarrassment this season, and as the calendar turns to July, their only goal is to figure out if they have any keepers for the years to come.

One piece that you can bet probably won’t be a part of their future is Freddy Peralta, who gets the ball on Wednesday against the Blue Jays.

The Mets open near even money with the Blue Jays, who will toss out embattled starter Patrick Corbin on Wednesday.


Blue Jays starting pitcher Patrick Corbin winding up to deliver a pitch.
Patrick Corbin hasn’t been a good pitcher for a few years but that hasn’t stopped the Mets in the past. Jon Blacker/The Canadian Press via AP

It’s the Mets’ ace and their nearly full-health roster against Toronto and a mostly listless starter in Corbin, who has just one season with an ERA below 5 since 2020.

This year, Corbin has a 5.09 ERA, although a FIP of 4.59, so perhaps he’s improving somewhat.

We’ve seen the Mets turn bad starters into aces all season long, but they’ve at least got a healthy-ish offensive squad with Francisco Lindor back from injury and Juan Soto still looking dominant.

Seemingly all of the Mets’ starters this year have a better FIP than ERA, mostly because their defense is an abomination.

Regardless of how you stack that up, I don’t think the pitchers are all that good, and the Mets’ offense is at least close to full strength in this matchup.

The Mets are marginally better against lefties than they are against righties (although both are pretty poor), but it’s Francisco Alvarez, Lindor, and former Blue Jay Bo Bichette who all have OPS figures about 1.000 against Corbin.


New York Mets pitcher Freddy Peralta walking off the field.
Freddy Peralta is in his walk year as the Mets season falls apart. IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting


So I’ll take the over here and feel free to target a home run prop on Bichette against his former team.

THE PLAY: Over 8.5 total runs (-110, BetMGM)

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.

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