Lee Anderson sounded a dire warning to Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer after a shock new poll put Reform UK 15 points ahead of Labour. The Ashfield MP – himself a former member of the party who quit for the Tories before defecting once again last year – said: “There’s going to be a Reckoning. You know its coming and we will take our country back.”
The Find Out Now survey, carried out among 2,615 British adults, shows Reform UK on 33%, up two points from the previous week. Labour trails on 18%, down one point, while the Conservatives are on 17%, a drop of two points. The Liberal Democrats and Greens remain unchanged on 12 and 10 percent respectively. The poll underscores the rapid rise of Reform UK, which currently holds five seats in Parliament and has recently led national opinion polls.
The party also achieved significant success in the local elections in May, taking control of 10 councils, signaling growing support at both national and local levels.
If Reform UK were to maintain 33% support across the country, it could convert into roughly 100–120 seats in the House of Commons, enough to be a decisive force in any hung parliament scenario.
In a separate YouGov poll published on Tuesday, Prime Minister Sir Keir’s favourability remains largely static, with 24% of Britons viewing the Labour leader positively and 68% negatively, leaving him on a net rating of -44, unchanged from July.
Reform leader Nigel Farage’s ratings have also been stable, with 32% favourable and 61% unfavourable, a net -29.
Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch has seen a modest increase in positive opinion to 21%, though 52% still view her negatively, giving her a net -31. Lib Dem leader Ed Davey recorded a slight rise to 30% favourable, yielding a net -3.
Jeremy Corbyn, set to co-lead a new left-wing party, has a net -35, slightly ahead of Sir Keir, with strong support among Green voters. Co-leader Zarah Sultana scores 14% favourable.
Green leadership candidates remain largely unknown, with over three-quarters of Britons undecided.
The Conservative party’s net favourability improves to -39, narrowing the gap with Labour (-37), though both trail Reform UK (-24).