One Reform activist, who previously supported Jeremy Corbyn, says that if they can galvanise support in areas with low turnout, they could be on course for a “Trump-esq landslide”.
The unnamed activist told PoliticsJOE: “I voted for Jeremy Corbyn in 2019, I am fundamentally a populist.
“I am against the establishment. Labour and Tories have failed us – the Tories for the last 14 years and Labour before that when everything went downhill.
“The lowest turnout, 25% in some cases, was in Yorkshire and the Humber and Linconshire.
“These are all places where the Conservatives won and Reform came second.
“These are people who have no say in the country and no way of getting their voice out and they are all going to vote Reform.
“If we can get the people who typically don’t vote, to vote, then it will be a tremendous Trump-esq landslide in 2029.”
The electoral voting system in the UK makes it highly unlikely that Reform would be able to win a general election. In July’s election, the party was only able to turn 14.3% of the national vote share into five seats due to the way support is dispersed across the country.
But the poll conducted by More In Common does suggest that if Nigel Farage is not the next Prime Minister, he could have substantial influence in deciding who is.
According to the poll, no party would win an outright majority, meaning that both Labour and the Conservatives, with 228 and 222 seats respectively, would be relying on smaller parties with a substantial amount of parliamentary seats to form a coalition to gain entry to number 10.
In such a scenario, Reform’s 72 seats and the Liberal Democrats 58 seats would provide each party with significant influence in determining the make-up of the government.
