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New England’s 13-win leap from last season is unprecedented, but it’s also padded by one of the softest schedules the league has seen in half a century.
Seattle is built to expose it, pairing the NFL‘s best scoring defense with historically strong efficiency metrics, which is why it is favored by 4.5 points.
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What our Post expert thinks about Patriots vs. Seahawks
Geography isn’t decisive, but it’s been a quiet tiebreaker more often than not, and Seattle checks that box in Santa Clara.
Per Action Network, the closer team is 34-25 straight up in Super Bowls, with that edge sharpening recently — winning seven of the last ten and 15 of the last 20 dating back to 2006.
It’s not home-field advantage, but familiarity and reduced travel have consistently nudged outcomes in subtle ways.
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Why Trust New York Post Betting
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.
