All 32 teams in the Champions League will be in action at the same time on Wednesday afternoon, and all but one of the 18 simultaneous matches have significant meaning.
Only four of the 36 teams in the competition have been eliminated, and only two (Arsenal and Bayern Munich) have rubber-stamped a top-8 finish, which also comes with a bye into the Round of 16.
Two teams looking to join Arsenal and Bayern — Newcastle and Paris Saint-Germain — will clash at the Parc des Princes in Paris on Wednesday.
PSG vs. Newcastle odds, prediction
PSG finally won its maiden Champions League trophy last May, and Les Parisiens look like a real threat to repeat. Luis Enrique’s side are the fourth-favorites (+750) in the outright market, and their domestic form is superb.
The attacking talent that Les Parisiens possess is always going to grab headlines, but once again, it’s their defensive work that puts them in elite territory. PSG has only conceded 15 goals in 19 matches in Ligue 1, and they’ve carried that defensive prowess into the Champions League, allowing just 10 goals and nine expected goals through the first seven games.
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Newcastle has not been nearly as consistent as it would want in the Premier League this season, but the Magpies will be confident that their process, especially defensively, could pay serious dividends in this competition.
Newcastle has struggled going forward compared to other heavyweights in England this season, but they have proven to be one of the stingiest defenses in all of Europe.
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Only Arsenal has allowed fewer expected goals in the Premier League, the toughest domestic competition in the world, this season. Newcastle’s numbers in the Champions League are just as impressive. The Magpies rank third in expected goals allowed and have conceded just six goals through seven matches.
PSG loves to dominate the ball and lull defenses to sleep, but Newcastle will be more than comfortable in that kind of environment, especially since a draw could be enough to clinch both teams a bye into the Round of 16.
The Play: Under 2.5 goals (+175, bet365)
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
