The Bears are serious about a Super Bowl this season, and the betting markets are buying in.
Chicago’s Super Bowl odds jumped from 14/1 to 11/1 at BetMGM following Thursday’s blockbuster trade for All-Pro defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons from the Titans.
The Bears, who enter Week 8 at 5-2, now own the sixth-best price in the NFL and project an 8.33 percent implied probability to win the Lombardi Trophy.
Chicago exchanged its 2027 and 2028 first-round picks and a 2027 fourth-round selection to acquire Simmons and a 2028 fifth-round pick.
He became the first defensive tackle to command multiple first-round picks in a trade in the common draft era, dating back to 1967, according to ESPN.
Simmons’ arrival immediately addresses the Bears’ most glaring need for an interior pass-rushing presence.
The Bears rank 23rd in interior pass rush win rate this season at 13 percent, while Simmons leads all NFL defensive tackles with a 27 percent win rate.
Simmons’ 28 quarterback pressures are also the most among interior defenders, including 10 pressures and three sacks against double teams, both league-leading figures at his position, according to NFL Next Gen Stats. His 20 run stops are first at his position, too.
The former Titans captain earned his first career first-team All-Pro selection in 2025 after registering a career-high 11 sacks. He signed a three-year, $105.8 million extension with Tennessee during the offseason, keeping him under contract through 2030.
Simmons joins a Chicago defensive front featuring veteran Grady Jarrett and former Mississippi State teammate Montez Sweat, who is returning from a two-game suspension.
Betting on the NFL?
Despite the move, Chicago (+700) remains behind the 49ers (+270), Seahawks (+520), Vikings (+650) and Rams (+650) to win the NFC.
The Bears (+280) also trail Minnesota (+105) in the NFC North race, although their 11/1 Super Bowl odds are shorter than the Vikings’ 17/1 price.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.
