West Ham will be fighting for their Premier League lives against Newcastle United on Sunday afternoon.
The Hammers are on 36 points with two matches to go, and trail 17th-place Tottenham by two points going into the penultimate matchday of the campaign.
One of West Ham or Tottenham will be relegated, along with Wolverhampton and Burnley, after the season concludes next week.
That makes Sunday’s trip to Newcastle one of the most important games in the history of West Ham United.
West Ham vs. Newcastle odds, prediction
While West Ham has everything to lose and gain from this match, there is nothing on the line for Newcastle United other than trying to give their fans a nice sendoff in their last home match of the season.
The Magpies are in 13th place and have been one of the most disappointing clubs in 2025-26.
Despite that, Newcastle is still a +120 favorite on the three-way moneyline, with West Ham coming back at +205. The draw has +275 odds.
While the motivational edge goes to West Ham, they’ll also be dealing with the pressure of playing in a must-win game.
Newcastle should be free to play loose, with plenty of its players looking to just get out of these last two matches without injury ahead of the World Cup, but they are in woeful form.
With one win from their last six, the Magpies have had the look of a team playing out the string for months.
West Ham’s recent form is better than that, but they are coming off a crushing 1-0 loss to first-place Arsenal last weekend. The Hammers had a last-minute goal wiped off the board in that contest, putting a huge damper on their chances for survival.
West Ham enters this match as a -375 favorite to get relegated, but a win Sunday has the potential to change everything.
And the Hammers should benefit from this schedule spot.
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West Ham’s defensive numbers for most of the season have been poor, but they have been on the rise down the stretch as the Hammers try to scrape together enough points to stay up. Only Leeds United has conceded fewer expected goals than West Ham over their last five matches.
If the Hammers can carry that defensive form into St. James’ Park on Sunday, they’ll have a terrific chance to keep their season alive against a disinterested, leaky team.
The Play: West Ham moneyline (+205, DraftKings)
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.