Will LeBron James return for another season or retire?

LeBron James’ future has never been more uncertain. 

If you had asked me at the top of the season whether I thought James was going to return for Year 24, my answer would’ve been yes. People around James thought the same thing, including Kevin Love, his former teammate on the Cleveland Cavaliers and close friend. 

Love, who won a championship alongside James in Cleveland in 2016, hung out with James the night before the Lakers played Utah on Nov. 18. At the game, Love made it clear he didn’t want to make any assumptions about James. 

But when I asked Love if he thought this could be James’ last season, he told me, “I don’t think it will be,” adding, “But at the end of next year, there’s a high likelihood that will be the case.”

Things may have changed since then. 

James truly seems undecided about his future. When asked about his plans ahead of the All-Star Game on Sunday, he balked. “I want to live,” he said. “When I know, you guys will know. I don’t know. I have no idea.”

It’s hard to imagine that one of the greatest players of all-time doesn’t have things mapped out, especially James, who’s masterful with the media and deeply cares about his narrative. But it’s also possible that he just wants to see how he feels. 

There are some days when the 41-year-old is the embodiment of joy, as he was against Dallas on Thursday, when he was dancing and grinning before tipoff and went on to become the oldest player in NBA history to record a triple-double with 28 points, 10 rebounds and 12 assists. 

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But then there are days when it’s obvious he’s questioning whether he still wants to do this, such as when he was embroiled in drama around Jeanie Buss last month. Or when he was slumped in a chair after a close loss to Oklahoma City last week and acknowledged he was “tired as f—-,” adding, “Sorry if I sound irritated, but I’m 41. My [patience for] irritation is being very, very low as the days go on.”

So, as that sand falls through the hourglass on one of the most storied careers in NBA history, no one knows what James is really thinking. 

But if I had to rank the likelihood of what he’ll do, here would be my order. 

1. James returns to Cleveland

James cried while watching a video tribute in Cleveland last month. That’s a rare occurrence for the superstar, who showed that type of emotion when he won the 2016 championship with Cleveland and again when he became the league’s all-time leading scorer in 2023. 

James returning to Cleveland would bring his illustrious career full circle. It’s where he was drafted in 2003 as an 18-year-old with the weight of his world on his shoulders. It’s where he quickly transformed into the face of the league. It’s where he called himself the greatest player of all-time after he led the Cavs to come back from a 3-1 series deficit in the 2016 NBA Finals against Golden State, something no other team has done. To this day, he still refers to himself “just a kid from Akron” after his accomplishments. His heart is still in Ohio.  

Not to mention, the Cavs have made it clear that they’re in win-now mode after trading for James Harden earlier this month, as well as acquiring Dennis Schroder and Keon Ellis at the deadline. James praised the Cavs’ moves Tuesday on his podcast, “Mind the Game,” saying, “They’re going for it.” 

James’ and the Cavs’ timelines are aligned. While the Lakers are building around Luka Doncic and looking toward their future, the Cavs are all in right now. It makes you wonder if James could return to where his career began and vye for a championship alongside Donovan Mitchell. 

As for Mitchell, he recently praised James, telling me, “Just being here in Cleveland, you want to replicate what he did.” When asked if he wanted to team up with the megastar, Mitchell flashed a smile. “That ain’t up to me,” he said. “I’m focused on these guys in the locker room. And from that point, everything else kinda goes where it does.”

2. James returns to the Lakers

Heading into the season, I thought James was going to retire in a purple and gold jersey. He loves Los Angeles. Would he really want to pull his daughter out of school and uproot his family? Or be apart from them for a year? He has been in LA eight straight seasons, his longest consecutive stretch anywhere in his career. 

But now I’m not so sure about everything. 

The ESPN report last month that Buss was frustrated with James over various issues, including his “outsized ego” and the control that he and Klutch wielded over the organization surely didn’t help things. 

The Lakers’ priority is Doncic and his future. It’s not clear how James fits into that equation, especially considering they’re aiming to re-sign Austin Reaves to a big contract as well as take a major swing this summer (Read: Giannis Antetokounmpo). James is earning $52.6 million this season and historically has been opposed to taking dramatic pay cuts.

Lakers president of basketball operations Rob Pelinka said in Sept. that he’d love James to retire a Laker.

But Buss reportedly expressed doubt Tuesday over whether James would return to LA for another season, either because he’d retire or go elsewhere, telling CNBC, “Never say never, but you know, he certainly hasn’t given an indication. He’s earned the right to decide how his career will go, and you know, he continues to impress.”

3. James retires

I’m ranking this low because it’s hard to imagine James not wanting a farewell tour. Also, he’s still playing at an extremely high level, averaging 22 points on 50.2 percent shooting, 5.8 rebounds and 7.1 assists a game. He’s still capable of being the best player on the floor on any given night. James has always said he’s not going to do this until the wheels fall off. He’s not even remotely close to that point. 

4. James joins Golden State

James famously said on “The Shop” in 2022 that if he could play with any player, it would be Steph Curry. James and the 37-year-old Curry met in four straight Finals from 2015-2018 and have a deep well of respect for each other. They’re both in the sunset of their careers and, alongside one another, could be championship contenders. 

But would James really join a new franchise in his final season? Curry’s franchise?

Seems highly unlikely. 

That said, there’s definitely some level of mutual interest there. The Warriors reportedly made an unsuccessful attempt to trade for James ahead of the Feb. 2024 deadline. And when I asked Draymond Green last month if he’d want to play with James, he didn’t hesitate, “I’ve always wanted to,” he said. 

But Green also added: “I don’t see a path to it.”