At this point in the season, handicappers try to uncover betting value by isolating teams that have started to perform noticeably better or worse than their season-long power rating.
San José State just might fit that criteria.
The Spartans have weathered significant injuries but have seemingly turned a corner.
Despite a 1-11 conference record, they have covered three of their past four games, and coach Tim Miles maximizes his talent.
A critical angle is that the leading scorer, Colby Garland, recently returned from injury.
Garland took a couple of games to regain his rhythm, but has surpassed 20 points in consecutive games.
San José State visits UNLV on Tuesday as a 12.5-point underdog with a total of 151.5 points at bet365, as of Tuesday morning.
The Runnin’ Rebels are a middle-of-the-pack team in the Mountain West and are coming off an impressive home win over Grand Canyon.
I think San José State can catch them fairly flat, especially since the Rebels beat them on the road by 14 points.
UNLV has some issues.
Its ceiling is pretty high, as demonstrated by road wins over Boise State and Grand Canyon.
However, the Rebs have shot themselves in the foot in key situations and also have an inconsistent offense.
Betting on College Basketball?
For what it’s worth, KenPom.com projects a 10-point margin and it doesn’t account for injuries, which only strengthens San Jose State’s profile since Garland missed some games.
I have a 95-51-2 ATS record in this Post sports section, and my next play is San José State +12.5 points (-110, bet365).
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He’s also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.