Super Bowl 2026 Coin toss odds, history, predictions for Seahawks vs. Patriots

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“Heads I win, tails you lose.”

A simple coin toss could decide little to nothing for some. However, for football fans on Sunday evening, it’ll hold a much larger meaning.

Super Bowl 2026 airs at 6:30 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock, with the final game of the NFL season taking place at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.

The Seahawks are favored by 4.5 points over the Patriots, with the Over/Under checking in at 45.5 at BetMGM.

Before the Big Game gets underway, millions will be glued to see the result of the opening coin toss.

Putting aside all superstition and major conspiracy theories, this swift action determines which team gains possession first and which side of the field they would like to defend. 

Let’s dive into the last 10 Super Bowl coin toss results before I attempt to sway you on which side to add to your betslip come gameday.


The coin toss before Super Bowl 2025.
The coin toss before Super Bowl 2025. AFP via Getty Images

Super Bowl coin toss history (last 10 games)

Super BowlCoin toss resultCoin toss winnerDid they win?
Broncos-Panthers (50)TailsPanthersNo
Falcons-Patriots (51)TailsFalconsNo
Eagles-Patriots (52)HeadsPatriotsNo
Rams-Patriots (53)TailsRamsNo
49ers-Chiefs (54)Tails49ersNo
Buccaneers-Chiefs (55)HeadsChiefsNo
Rams-Bengals (56)HeadsBengalsNo
Eagles-Chiefs (57)TailsChiefsYes
49ers-Chiefs (58)HeadsChiefsYes
Eagles-Chiefs (59)TailsChiefsNo
Courtesy of Covers.com

Winning the toss is half the battle, as once it’s in the air, the real fun begins.

In 59 Super Bowls, the opening toss has been tails 31 times, compared to 28 heads.

A grand total of 25 teams that won the opening toss went on to win the game.


Betting on the NFL?


The Seahawks are the designated visiting team, meaning destiny is quite literally in their hands.

Without further ado.

Based on my almighty projections model, the opening coin toss for this year’s Super Bowl will be tails!

The Play: Tails (+100, bet365 Sportsbook)


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Mike Turay is a sports journalist and editor who closely follows the NBA, NFL, college sports and UFC. He has demonstrated expertise in both NBA and NFL player prop bets for nearly three years. Mike is also highly knowledgeable about the sportsbook offer landscape, frequently trying and reviewing the latest apps and sites.

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