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Map shows where Reform UK would demolish Labour and Tories | Politics | News

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Last updated: February 7, 2025 12:41 pm
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Published: February 7, 2025
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A new map has shown where Reform UK would demolish Labour and the Conservative as a poll puts Nigel Farage ahead of Sir Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch again.

The prediction put together by Election Maps UK is based on polling results released by Find Out Now on Wednesday.

These concluded that Reform UK was on 29% (+2), Labour 25% (+2) and the Conservatives on 18% (-3).

Modelling suggested that, if a general election were held now, Reform would win 253 seats (+248). But this would still be 73 short of a majority in the House of Commons.

Labour would win 196 seats (-215), experts predict, with the Tories winning 40, a loss of 81.

The map suggests that Refrom UK would pick up constituencies in East Anglia and Norfolk, as well as parts of the south east and south west of England.

Even parts of the south coast and the Isle of Wight would be picked up.

In addition, parts of the home counties would fall, the chart suggests, and large swathes of the Midlands.

Bits of Wales are also coloured in bright blue, along with huge patches of the North, including Labour’s so-called “Red Wall”, where the party did well at the election last year.

Nigel Farage’s party looks like it would do well in the north west of England also, and in the north east.

Reacting to the poll, Reform UK’s Chairman, Zia Yusuf wrote on X yesterday: “The turquoise tidal wave is rising!!”

It comes after Mr Farage’s former advisor, Gawain Towler told the Express about Reform UK’s target areas in 2025. These include Labour energy secretary Ed Miliband’s patch in Doncaster.

Mr Towler added that Reform is looking to ensure it is “squeaky bum time” for Sir Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch, and “scare the pants off them” by grabbing seats across the country.

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