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Notable shift emerges in LeBron James sweepstakes in latest next team odds

amedpost
Last updated: July 17, 2026 7:25 pm
amedpost
Published: July 17, 2026
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The Golden State Warriors appear to have a strong chance to sign LeBron James.

According to Kalshi, the Warriors have 32.8% odds to be the four-time NBA champion’s next team.

His hometown Cleveland Cavaliers are still the favorites with 34.9% odds to land James at Kalshi.

Over $137 million has been traded on LeBron’s next team at the flagship prediction market.

The Warriors have been on an upward trajectory in the James sweepstakes in recent days, having sat with 20 percent odds on July 7 compared to the Cavaliers’ 54 percent.

It’s unclear as to why, but several personnel from Golden State have commented on the 41-year-old’s free agency process.

James’ agent Rich Paul also discussed the veteran joining the Warriors on his podcast Friday.

Earlier this summer, the 41-year-old informed the Los Angeles Lakers he would not return for the 2026-27 campaign. The news kickstarted the biggest story of the offseason as James hit free agency.


LeBron James, Steph Curry
LeBron James and Steph Curry teamed up for the first time in their careers at the Paris Olympics in 2024. USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

After eight consecutive seasons with the Lakers, the NBA’s all-time leading scorer would explore his options on the market.

A majority of teams in the league reached out to James via his agent, but since his announcement to the Lakers on June 30, there has only been speculation as to where he will go.


Betting on the NBA?


What is publicly known is that James is searching for complete basketball happiness in the twilight of his career. He can certainly find that in the Bay.

Aside from being a well-run organization, the Warriors present a chance to team up with Steph Curry once more before James hangs up his jersey.

Curry and James were teammates for the first time in their careers at the Paris Olympics in 2024, but it was overseas.

It appears James is certainly mulling over joining Curry stateside on the Warriors — or at least Kalshi seems to think so.

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