Labour has crashed to a devastating new record low, according to a shocking new YouGov survey. The reputable pollster found that support for Sir Keir Starmer’s party now stands at just 17%, just one point ahead of the Green Party.
Reform is significantly ahead on 27%, up one point despite recent rows and difficult headlines. The Tories are tied with Labour on 17%, while the Lib Dems are just behind the pack on 15%. According to the Electoral Calculus prediction tool, if played out at a general election, this would result in a Reform majority of 60, with Nigel Farage leading 355 MPs into government.
By contrast, the second-largest party would be the Lib Dems, who would form the official opposition with 72 MPs.
Labour would be third with just 68 MPs, while the Tories would fall into sixth place behind the Green Party and the SNP.
Kemi Badenoch would hold on to her Essex seat, but would be joined by just 30 Tory colleagues on the green benches.
The SNP would win 45 seats and the Greens 41 MPs under their new leader Zack Polanski.
YouGov’s poll reveals that Labour’s 2024 voter coalition has now completely splintered, with 18% moving to the Greens, 13% going to the Lib Dems and 11% going to Reform.
Labour MPs will also be terrified that their record low ratings in the polls comes before Rachel Reeves delivers her second Budget, which many believe will mean huge tax rises.
Last week, reports emerged that the Chancellor is looking at ditching her manifesto pledge not to raise income tax, sparking terror from fellow Cabinet ministers.
Reacting to the poll, Reform’s chairman, Dr David Bull, said it proves that the “old two-party system is dead”.
He added: “There is a seismic shift happening out there.
“Reform UK is offering a real alternative for Britain’s future.”
